Space Weather Observations, Alerts, and Forecast
Current Space Weather Overview
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3-day Solar-Geophysical Forecast
Product: 3-Day Forecast
- Issued: 2026 Jul 06 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center.
Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 06-Jul 08 2026 is 2.67 (below NOAA Scale levels).
| Jul 06 | Jul 07 | Jul 08 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 00-03UT | 2.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| 03-06UT | 2.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| 06-09UT | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| 09-12UT | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| 12-15UT | 2.00 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| 15-18UT | 2.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| 18-21UT | 2.00 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| 21-00UT | 2.00 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
| Jul 06 | Jul 07 | Jul 08 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| S1 or greater | 10% | 10% | 5% |
Rationale: There is a slight chance for a greater than 10 MeV proton event (S1-Minor) on 06-07 Jul due to the recent and potential flare activity of Regions 4478, 4479, and 4482.
Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Jul 05 2026 1757 UTC.
| Jul 06 | Jul 07 | Jul 08 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1-R2 | 75% | 55% | 20% |
| R3 or greater | 20% | 10% | 5% |
Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, through 06 Jul. As Regions 4479 and 4480 rotate around the west limb by 07 Jul, activity is expected to decrease. However, moderate levels are likely to persist until these regions rotate another day beyond the limb. Activity should decrease to a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) levels on 08 Jul as these regions complete their transit of the limb.
Real Time Images of the Sun
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SOHO EIT 171 |
SOHO EIT 195 |
SOHO EIT 284 |
SOHO EIT 304 |
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SDO/HMI Continuum |
SDO/HMI Magnetogram |
LASCO C2 |
LASCO C3 |
Solar Wind
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Real-Time Solar Wind Real-Time Solar Wind data broadcast from NASA's ACE satellite. |
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WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction |
| Move your cursor over the timeline to 'scrub' through the forecast. |
Solar Cycle
The Solar Cycle is observed by counting the frequency and placement of sunspots visible on the Sun. The forecast comes from the Solar Cycle Prediction Panel representing NOAA, NASA and the International Space Environmental Services (ISES). The Prediction Panel has predicted Cycle 25 to reach a maximum of 115 occurring in July, 2025. The solar radio flux at 10.7 cm (2800 MHz) is an excellent indicator of solar activity. Often called the F10.7 index, it is one of the longest running records of solar activity. The F10.7 radio emissions originates high in the chromosphere and low in the corona of the solar atmosphere. The F10.7 correlates well with the sunspot number as well as a number of UltraViolet (UV) and visible solar irradiance records.
Auroral Activity Forecast
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Northern Hemi Auroral Map |
Southern Hemi Auroral Map |
Radio Communications Impact
D-Region Absorption
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D-Region Absorption Prediction |
VHF and HF Band Conditions
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Credits:
Space Weather Images and Information (excluded from copyright) courtesy of:NOAA / NWS Space Weather Prediction Center
Mauna Loa Solar Observatory (HAO/NCAR)
SOHO (ESA & NASA).
Space Weather links:
3-Day Forecast of Solar and Geophysical Activity
Space Weather Overview
LASCO Coronagraph
Real-Time Solar Wind
Space Weather Advisory Outlooks
Space Weather Forecast Disussions
Space Weather Alerts, Watches and Warnings
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO)
The Very Latest SOHO Images
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